raw materials | closing price | % change |
Oil | 65.49 | +3.07% |
Gold | 1,332.50 | +1.57% |
index | closing price | change items | % change |
Nikkei | | | |
TOPIX | | | |
Hang Seng | -135.41 | 31414.52 | -0.43% |
CSI 300 | -16.65 | 4061.05 | -0.41% |
Euro Stoxx 50 | -11.04 | 3401.04 | -0.32% |
DAX | +1.82 | 12309.15 | +0.01% |
CAC 40 | -12.69 | 5239.74 | -0.24% |
DJIA | -44.96 | 24682.31 | -0.18% |
S&P 500 | -5.01 | 2711.93 | -0.18% |
NASDAQ | -19.02 | 7345.29 | -0.26% |
Pare | Closed | % change |
EUR/USD | $1,2338 | +0,77% |
GBP/USD | $1,4137 | +0,97% |
USD/CHF | Chf0,94884 | -0,79% |
USD/JPY | Y106,06 | -0,43% |
EUR/JPY | Y130,86 | +0,34% |
GBP/JPY | Y149,932 | +0,54% |
AUD/USD | $0,7762 | +1,03% |
NZD/USD | $0,7225 | +0,72% |
USD/CAD | C$1,29025 | -1,32% |
Time | Region | Event | Period | Previous | Forecast |
02:30 | Australia | Unemployment rate | February | 5.5% | 5.5% |
02:30 | Australia | Changing the number of employed | February | 16 | 20 |
02:30 | Japan | Manufacturing PMI | March | 54.1 | 53.8 |
06:30 | Japan | All Industry Activity Index, m/m | January | 0.5% | -0.1% |
10:00 | France | Services PMI | March | 57.4 | 57 |
10:00 | France | Manufacturing PMI | March | 55.9 | 55.6 |
10:30 | Eurozone | ECB's Lautenschläger Speech | | | |
10:30 | Germany | Services PMI | | 55.3 | 55.0 |
10:30 | Germany | Manufacturing PMI | March | 60.6 | 59.8 |
11:00 | Eurozone | Current account, unadjusted, bln | March | 45.8 | |
11:00 | Eurozone | ECB Economic Bulletin | January | | |
11:00 | Eurozone | Manufacturing PMI | | 58.6 | 58.0 |
11:00 | Eurozone | Services PMI | | 56.2 | 56.0 |
11:00 | Germany | IFO - Expectations | March | 105.4 | 104.4 |
11:00 | Germany | IFO - Current Assessment | March | 126.3 | 125.7 |
11:00 | Germany | IFO - Business Climate | March | 115.4 | 114.6 |
11:30 | United Kingdom | Retail Sales (MoM) | March | 0.1% | -0.1% |
11:30 | United Kingdom | Retail Sales (YoY) | March | 1.6% | 1.3% |
14:00 | United Kingdom | BoE Interest Rate Decision | February | 0.5% | 0.5% |
14:00 | United Kingdom | Asset Purchase Facility | February | 435 | 435 |
14:00 | United Kingdom | Bank of England Minutes | | | |
14:30 | USA | Continuing Jobless Claims | | 1879 | 1869 |
14:30 | USA | Initial Jobless Claims | | 226 | 225 |
15:00 | USA | Housing Price Index, m/m | | 0.3% | 0.5% |
15:45 | USA | Services PMI | March | 55.9 | 55.0 |
15:45 | USA | Manufacturing PMI | March | 55.3 | 55.4 |
16:00 | Belgium | Business Climate | January | 1.9 | 2.1 |
16:00 | USA | Leading Indicators | March | 1% | 0.5% |
19:00 | United Kingdom | MPC Member Ramsden Speaks | March | | |
20:45 | Canada | Gov Council Member Wilkins Speaks | February | |
Major U.S. stock-indexes rose on Wednesday before the announcement of the Federal Reserve's policy decision (18:00 GMT), as energy sector rallied, underpinned by a jump in oil prices after a surprise drop in U.S. inventories. Meanwhile, Facebook (FB; +1.4%) rebounded after steep declines in the previous two sessions.
Most of Dow stocks in positive area (18 of 30). Top gainer - Chevron Corp. (CVX, +2.04%). Top loser - The Procter & Gamble Co. (GE, -0.93%).
Most of S&P sectors in positive area. Top gainer - Basic Materials (+2.2%). Top loser - Conglomerates(-0.6%).
At the moment:
Index/commodity | Last | Today's Change, points | Today's Change, % |
Dow | 24794.00 | +29.00 | +0.12% |
S&P 500 | 2726.50 | +3.00 | +0.11% |
Nasdaq 100 | 6909.50 | -8.00 | -0.12% |
Crude Oil | 65.04 | +1.50 | +2.36% |
Gold | 1326.20 | +14.30 | +1.09% |
U.S. 10yr | 2.90% | +0.02 | +0.83% |
U.S. commercial crude oil inventories (excluding those in the Strategic Petroleum Reserve) decreased by 2.6 million barrels from the previous week. At 428.3 million barrels, U.S. crude oil inventories are in the lower half of the average range for this time of year.
Total motor gasoline inventories decreased by 1.7 million barrels last week, but are near the upper limit of the average range. Finished gasoline inventories increased while blending components inventories decreased last week.
Distillate fuel inventories decreased by 2.0 million barrels last week and are in the lower half of the average range for this time of year. Propane/propylene inventories decreased by 2.1 million barrels last week, and are in the lower half of the average range. Total commercial petroleum inventories decreased by 6.9 million barrels last week.
Existing-home sales slumped for the second consecutive month in January and experienced their largest decline on an annual basis in over three years, according to the National Association of Realtors. All major regions saw monthly and annual sales declines last month.
Total existing-home sales, which are completed transactions that include single-family homes, townhomes, condominiums and co-ops, sank 3.2 percent in January to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 5.38 million from a downwardly revised 5.56 million in December 2017. After last month's decline, sales are 4.8 percent below a year ago (largest annual decline since August 2014 at 5.5 percent) and at their slowest pace since last September (5.37 million).
U.S. stock-index futures fell on Wednesday as investors were cautious ahead of the announcement of the Fed's policy decision, while Facebook (FB) shares continued to slide in reaction to the Cambridge Analytica scandal.
Global Stocks:
Index/commodity | Last | Today's Change, points | Today's Change, % |
Nikkei | - | - | - |
Hang Seng | 31,414.52 | -135.41 | -0.43% |
Shanghai | 3,281.59 | -9.05 | -0.27% |
S&P/ASX | 5,950.30 | +13.90 | +0.23% |
FTSE | 7,024.91 | -36.36 | -0.51% |
CAC | 5,231.71 | -20.72 | -0.39% |
DAX | 12,270.85 | -36.48 | -0.30% |
Crude | 64.11 | | +0.90% |
Gold | 1,316.50 | | +0.35% |
(company / ticker / price / change ($/%) / volume)
ALTRIA GROUP INC. | MO | 61.25 | -0.27(-0.44%) | 3061 |
Amazon.com Inc., NASDAQ | AMZN | 1,587.40 | 0.89(0.06%) | 43869 |
American Express Co | AXP | 94.92 | -0.03(-0.03%) | 999 |
Apple Inc. | AAPL | 175.05 | -0.19(-0.11%) | 79482 |
AT&T Inc | T | 36.4 | 0.06(0.17%) | 840 |
Barrick Gold Corporation, NYSE | ABX | 12.1 | 0.06(0.50%) | 26916 |
Boeing Co | BA | 337.7 | 0.07(0.02%) | 2873 |
Cisco Systems Inc | CSCO | 44.29 | -0.08(-0.18%) | 5939 |
Citigroup Inc., NYSE | C | 72.94 | 0.02(0.03%) | 3570 |
Deere & Company, NYSE | DE | 159.4 | -0.59(-0.37%) | 700 |
Exxon Mobil Corp | XOM | 74.13 | 0.14(0.19%) | 2820 |
Facebook, Inc. | FB | 166.7 | -1.45(-0.86%) | 788056 |
FedEx Corporation, NYSE | FDX | 250.4 | -1.59(-0.63%) | 71309 |
Ford Motor Co. | F | 11 | 0.01(0.09%) | 14651 |
Freeport-McMoRan Copper & Gold Inc., NYSE | FCX | 18.5 | 0.01(0.05%) | 2016 |
General Electric Co | GE | 13.68 | 0.04(0.29%) | 81889 |
General Motors Company, NYSE | GM | 37.1 | 0.21(0.57%) | 2159 |
Home Depot Inc | HD | 178 | -0.16(-0.09%) | 334 |
Intel Corp | INTC | 51.54 | -0.01(-0.02%) | 48779 |
International Business Machines Co... | IBM | 156.81 | 0.61(0.39%) | 655 |
Johnson & Johnson | JNJ | 131.32 | 0.11(0.08%) | 8462 |
Microsoft Corp | MSFT | 92.97 | -0.16(-0.17%) | 11071 |
Pfizer Inc | PFE | 36.26 | -0.07(-0.19%) | 939 |
Procter & Gamble Co | PG | 78.17 | -0.14(-0.18%) | 4766 |
Tesla Motors, Inc., NASDAQ | TSLA | 310.5 | -0.05(-0.02%) | 8590 |
The Coca-Cola Co | KO | 43.13 | -0.03(-0.07%) | 2544 |
Twitter, Inc., NYSE | TWTR | 32.15 | 0.80(2.55%) | 570211 |
Verizon Communications Inc | VZ | 47.7 | 0.01(0.02%) | 730 |
Visa | V | 125 | 0.09(0.07%) | 945 |
Wal-Mart Stores Inc | WMT | 88.24 | 0.29(0.33%) | 2191 |
Yandex N.V., NASDAQ | YNDX | 42.9 | 0.12(0.28%) | 500 |
Facbook (FB) reiterated with a Overweight at KeyBanc Capital Mkts; target $245
FedEx (FDX) reported Q3 FY 2018 earnings of $3.72 per share (versus $2.35 in Q3 FY 2017), beating analysts' consensus estimate of $3.12.
The company's quarterly revenues amounted to $16.526 bln (+10.2% y/y), beating analysts' consensus estimate of $16.171 bln.
The company also issued upside guidance for FY 2018, raising EPS to $15.00-15.40 from $12.70-13.30 versus analysts' consensus estimate of $13.63.
FDX fell to $251.00 (-0.39%) in pre-market trading.
Latest estimates show that average weekly earnings for employees in Great Britain in nominal terms (that is, not adjusted for price inflation) increased by 2.6% excluding bonuses, and by 2.8% including bonuses, compared with a year earlier.
Average weekly earnings for employees in Great Britain in real terms (that is, adjusted for price inflation) fell by 0.2% excluding bonuses, but were unchanged including bonuses, compared with a year earlier.
Estimates from the Labour Force Survey show that, between August to October 2017 and November 2017 to January 2018, the number of people in work and the number of unemployed people both increased, but the number of people aged from 16 to 64 not working and not seeking or available to work (economically inactive) decreased.
There were 32.25 million people in work, 168,000 more than for August to October 2017 and 402,000 more than for a year earlier.
The unemployment rate (the proportion of those in work plus those unemployed, that were unemployed) was 4.3%, down from 4.7% for a year earlier and the joint lowest since 1975.
Reform of tax system laid out in new german govt's coalition agreement is disappointing, answer needed to corporate tax cuts in U.S., Britain and France
Huge income tax cuts in U.S. and robust economic upturn in euro zone are boosting demand for german goods and services
EUR/USD
Resistance levels (open interest**, contracts)
$1.2505 (3394)
$1.2473 (2006)
$1.2446 (844)
Price at time of writing this review: $1.2349
Support levels (open interest**, contracts):
$1.2187 (4014)
$1.2141 (5485)
$1.2094 (3216)
Comments:
- Overall open interest on the CALL options and PUT options with the expiration date April, 6 is 97944 contracts (according to data from March, 20) with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,2150 (5485);
GBP/USD
Resistance levels (open interest**, contracts)
$1.4238 (2482)
$1.4170 (2572)
$1.4126 (307)
Price at time of writing this review: $1.4027
Support levels (open interest**, contracts):
$1.3937 (1340)
$1.3902 (1129)
$1.3864 (3495)
Comments:
- Overall open interest on the CALL options with the expiration date April, 6 is 31182 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,4200 (2721);
- Overall open interest on the PUT options with the expiration date April, 6 is 30353 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,3800 (3602);
- The ratio of PUT/CALL was 0.97 versus 0.96 from the previous trading day according to data from March, 20
* - The Chicago Mercantile Exchange bulletin (CME) is used for the calculation.
** - Open interest takes into account the total number of option contracts that are open at the moment.
The Federal Open Market Committee had kept the rates on hold during its January meeting. However, the U.S. Fed is expected to hike the fed funds rate by 25 basis points during its meeting on Wednesday, noted Wells Fargo in a research report. Inflation has gathered momentum in recent months, with core inflation running at a 3.1 percent three-month annualized rate in February.
The average hourly earnings growth also stayed strong in February following a solid 2.8 percent year-on-year in January, and the labor market continues to tighten. Given higher inflation, rising inflation expectations and a strong employment outlook, four rate hikes are expected this year, said Wells Fargo.
Trade tensions with the US have clearly risen, posing a downside risk to our baseline outlook
Imposition of tighter financial regulations since early 2017 has prompted a notable deceleration in credit growth
Implication for economic policy from president XI Jinping's consolidation of power remains uncertain
Stock markets rose Wednesday in Asia, following modest rebounds in Europe and the U.S. that partially reversed Monday's global declines. Despite the strong start, trading volume across asset classes is likely to be muted in Asia through the day, ahead of the looming Federal Reserve interest-rate hike and updated economic projections.
European stocks ended higher on Tuesday, aided by a pullback for the euro following a weak German business sentiment reading. As well, a drop in the pound after a slowdown in British inflation helped lift U.K. blue-chip stocks.
U.S. stocks ended higher Tuesday, led by strong gains in the energy sector as the overall market reclaimed some lost ground from the previous day, when tech shares fell sharply. Market participants also were anticipating the Federal Reserve's two-day policy meeting, which started in the early afternoon. Investors are watching for signs that the central bank will take a more aggressive path toward normalizing monetary policy.
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