CFD Markets News and Forecasts — 21-03-2018

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21.03.2018
23:30
Currencies. Daily history for March 21’2018:


raw materials

closing price

% change

Oil

65.49

+3.07%

Gold

1,332.50

+1.57%

23:26
Currencies. Daily history for March 21’2018:


index

closing price

change items

% change

Nikkei



TOPIX



Hang Seng

-135.41

31414.52

-0.43%

CSI 300

-16.65

4061.05

-0.41%

Euro Stoxx 50

-11.04

3401.04

-0.32%

DAX

+1.82

12309.15

+0.01%

CAC 40

-12.69

5239.74

-0.24%

DJIA

-44.96

24682.31

-0.18%

S&P 500

-5.01

2711.93

-0.18%

NASDAQ

-19.02

7345.29

-0.26%

23:25
Currencies. Daily history for March 21’2018:


Pare

Closed

% change

EUR/USD

$1,2338

+0,77%

GBP/USD

$1,4137

+0,97%

USD/CHF

Chf0,94884

-0,79%

USD/JPY

Y106,06

-0,43%

EUR/JPY

Y130,86

+0,34%

GBP/JPY

Y149,932

+0,54%

AUD/USD

$0,7762

+1,03%

NZD/USD

$0,7225

+0,72%

USD/CAD

C$1,29025

-1,32%

22:59
Schedule for today, Wednesday, March 22’2018 (GMT0)



Time

Region

Event

Period

Previous

Forecast

02:30

Australia

Unemployment rate

February

5.5%

5.5%

02:30

Australia

Changing the number of employed

February

16

20

02:30

Japan

Manufacturing PMI

March

54.1

53.8

06:30

Japan

All Industry Activity Index, m/m

January

0.5%

-0.1%

10:00

France

Services PMI

March

57.4

57

10:00

France

Manufacturing PMI

March

55.9

55.6

10:30

Eurozone

ECB's Lautenschläger Speech




10:30

Germany

Services PMI


55.3

55.0

10:30

Germany

Manufacturing PMI

March

60.6

59.8

11:00

Eurozone

Current account, unadjusted, bln

March

45.8


11:00

Eurozone

ECB Economic Bulletin

January



11:00

Eurozone

Manufacturing PMI


58.6

58.0

11:00

Eurozone

Services PMI


56.2

56.0

11:00

Germany

IFO - Expectations

March

105.4

104.4

11:00

Germany

IFO - Current Assessment

March

126.3

125.7

11:00

Germany

IFO - Business Climate

March

115.4

114.6

11:30

United Kingdom

Retail Sales (MoM)

March

0.1%

-0.1%

11:30

United Kingdom

Retail Sales (YoY)

March

1.6%

1.3%

14:00

United Kingdom

BoE Interest Rate Decision

February

0.5%

0.5%

14:00

United Kingdom

Asset Purchase Facility

February

435

435

14:00

United Kingdom

Bank of England Minutes




14:30

USA

Continuing Jobless Claims


1879

1869

14:30

USA

Initial Jobless Claims


226

225

15:00

USA

Housing Price Index, m/m


0.3%

0.5%

15:45

USA

Services PMI

March

55.9

55.0

15:45

USA

Manufacturing PMI

March

55.3

55.4

16:00

Belgium

Business Climate

January

1.9

2.1

16:00

USA

Leading Indicators

March

1%

0.5%

19:00

United Kingdom

MPC Member Ramsden Speaks

March



20:45

Canada

Gov Council Member Wilkins Speaks

February


20:00
New Zealand: RBNZ Interest Rate Decision, 1.75% (forecast 1.75%)
19:00
DJIA -0.03% 24,720.32 -6.95 Nasdaq -0.34% 7,339.19 -25.11 S&P -0.11% 2,713.99 -2.95
18:00
U.S.: Fed Interest Rate Decision , 1.75% (forecast 1.75%)
17:00
European stocks closed: FTSE 100 -22.30 7038.97 -0.32% DAX +1.82 12309.15 +0.01% CAC 40 -12.69 5239.74 -0.24%
16:09
Wall Street. Major U.S. stock-indexes higher

Major U.S. stock-indexes rose on Wednesday before the announcement of the Federal Reserve's policy decision (18:00 GMT), as energy sector rallied, underpinned by a jump in oil prices after a surprise drop in U.S. inventories. Meanwhile, Facebook (FB; +1.4%) rebounded after steep declines in the previous two sessions.


Most of Dow stocks in positive area (18 of 30). Top gainer - Chevron Corp. (CVX, +2.04%). Top loser - The Procter & Gamble Co. (GE, -0.93%).

Most of S&P sectors in positive area. Top gainer - Basic Materials (+2.2%). Top loser - Conglomerates(-0.6%).


At the moment:

Index/commodity

Last

Today's Change, points

Today's Change, %

Dow

24794.00

+29.00

+0.12%

S&P 500

2726.50

+3.00

+0.11%

Nasdaq 100

6909.50

-8.00

-0.12%

Crude Oil

65.04

+1.50

+2.36%

Gold

1326.20

+14.30

+1.09%

U.S. 10yr

2.90%

+0.02

+0.83%

15:18
Dollar index pares losses in anticipation of a interest rate hike at today’s FOMC meeting. +0.25 to 1.75% expected. Volatility on the rise before the decision
14:52
Mnuchin says U.S objective is not to have a global trade war
14:33
U.S. commercial crude oil inventories decreased by 2.6 million barrels from the previous week

U.S. commercial crude oil inventories (excluding those in the Strategic Petroleum Reserve) decreased by 2.6 million barrels from the previous week. At 428.3 million barrels, U.S. crude oil inventories are in the lower half of the average range for this time of year.

Total motor gasoline inventories decreased by 1.7 million barrels last week, but are near the upper limit of the average range. Finished gasoline inventories increased while blending components inventories decreased last week.

Distillate fuel inventories decreased by 2.0 million barrels last week and are in the lower half of the average range for this time of year. Propane/propylene inventories decreased by 2.1 million barrels last week, and are in the lower half of the average range. Total commercial petroleum inventories decreased by 6.9 million barrels last week.

14:30
U.S.: Crude Oil Inventories, March -2.622 (forecast 3.182)
14:12
German Chancellor Merkel: Wants EU Leaders To Work Towards Euro Econ. Convergence @LiveSquawk
14:02
U.S existing-home sales slumped for the second consecutive month in January

Existing-home sales slumped for the second consecutive month in January and experienced their largest decline on an annual basis in over three years, according to the National Association of Realtors. All major regions saw monthly and annual sales declines last month.

Total existing-home sales, which are completed transactions that include single-family homes, townhomes, condominiums and co-ops, sank 3.2 percent in January to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 5.38 million from a downwardly revised 5.56 million in December 2017. After last month's decline, sales are 4.8 percent below a year ago (largest annual decline since August 2014 at 5.5 percent) and at their slowest pace since last September (5.37 million).

14:00
U.S.: Existing Home Sales , February 5.54 (forecast 5.4)
13:33
U.S. Stocks open: Dow +0.07% Nasdaq -0.14%, S&P -0.03%
13:24
Before the bell: S&P futures -0.15%, NASDAQ futures -0.38%

U.S. stock-index futures fell on Wednesday as investors were cautious ahead of the announcement of the Fed's policy decision, while Facebook (FB) shares continued to slide in reaction to the Cambridge Analytica scandal.


Global Stocks:

Index/commodity

Last

Today's Change, points

Today's Change, %

Nikkei

-

-

-

Hang Seng

31,414.52

-135.41

-0.43%

Shanghai

3,281.59

-9.05

-0.27%

S&P/ASX

5,950.30

+13.90

+0.23%

FTSE

7,024.91

-36.36

-0.51%

CAC

5,231.71

-20.72

-0.39%

DAX

12,270.85

-36.48

-0.30%

Crude

64.11


+0.90%

Gold

1,316.50


+0.35%

12:45
Wall Street. Stocks before the bell

(company / ticker / price / change ($/%) / volume)


ALTRIA GROUP INC.

MO

61.25

-0.27(-0.44%)

3061

Amazon.com Inc., NASDAQ

AMZN

1,587.40

0.89(0.06%)

43869

American Express Co

AXP

94.92

-0.03(-0.03%)

999

Apple Inc.

AAPL

175.05

-0.19(-0.11%)

79482

AT&T Inc

T

36.4

0.06(0.17%)

840

Barrick Gold Corporation, NYSE

ABX

12.1

0.06(0.50%)

26916

Boeing Co

BA

337.7

0.07(0.02%)

2873

Cisco Systems Inc

CSCO

44.29

-0.08(-0.18%)

5939

Citigroup Inc., NYSE

C

72.94

0.02(0.03%)

3570

Deere & Company, NYSE

DE

159.4

-0.59(-0.37%)

700

Exxon Mobil Corp

XOM

74.13

0.14(0.19%)

2820

Facebook, Inc.

FB

166.7

-1.45(-0.86%)

788056

FedEx Corporation, NYSE

FDX

250.4

-1.59(-0.63%)

71309

Ford Motor Co.

F

11

0.01(0.09%)

14651

Freeport-McMoRan Copper & Gold Inc., NYSE

FCX

18.5

0.01(0.05%)

2016

General Electric Co

GE

13.68

0.04(0.29%)

81889

General Motors Company, NYSE

GM

37.1

0.21(0.57%)

2159

Home Depot Inc

HD

178

-0.16(-0.09%)

334

Intel Corp

INTC

51.54

-0.01(-0.02%)

48779

International Business Machines Co...

IBM

156.81

0.61(0.39%)

655

Johnson & Johnson

JNJ

131.32

0.11(0.08%)

8462

Microsoft Corp

MSFT

92.97

-0.16(-0.17%)

11071

Pfizer Inc

PFE

36.26

-0.07(-0.19%)

939

Procter & Gamble Co

PG

78.17

-0.14(-0.18%)

4766

Tesla Motors, Inc., NASDAQ

TSLA

310.5

-0.05(-0.02%)

8590

The Coca-Cola Co

KO

43.13

-0.03(-0.07%)

2544

Twitter, Inc., NYSE

TWTR

32.15

0.80(2.55%)

570211

Verizon Communications Inc

VZ

47.7

0.01(0.02%)

730

Visa

V

125

0.09(0.07%)

945

Wal-Mart Stores Inc

WMT

88.24

0.29(0.33%)

2191

Yandex N.V., NASDAQ

YNDX

42.9

0.12(0.28%)

500

12:42
Rating reiterations before the market open

Facbook (FB) reiterated with a Overweight at KeyBanc Capital Mkts; target $245

12:41
Upgrades before the market open

FedEx (FDX) upgraded to Buy at Stifel; target raised to $295

12:30
U.S.: Current account, bln, Quarter IV -128.2 (forecast -125)
11:56
Company News: FedEx (FDX) quarterly results beat analysts’ expectations

FedEx (FDX) reported Q3 FY 2018 earnings of $3.72 per share (versus $2.35 in Q3 FY 2017), beating analysts' consensus estimate of $3.12.

The company's quarterly revenues amounted to $16.526 bln (+10.2% y/y), beating analysts' consensus estimate of $16.171 bln.

The company also issued upside guidance for FY 2018, raising EPS to $15.00-15.40 from $12.70-13.30 versus analysts' consensus estimate of $13.63.

FDX fell to $251.00 (-0.39%) in pre-market trading.

11:00
United Kingdom: CBI industrial order books balance, March 4 (forecast 9)
10:03
Sterling up 0.4 pct at $1.4073 after UK employment data beats forcasts
09:35
UK average earnings rose more than expected in January

Latest estimates show that average weekly earnings for employees in Great Britain in nominal terms (that is, not adjusted for price inflation) increased by 2.6% excluding bonuses, and by 2.8% including bonuses, compared with a year earlier.

Average weekly earnings for employees in Great Britain in real terms (that is, adjusted for price inflation) fell by 0.2% excluding bonuses, but were unchanged including bonuses, compared with a year earlier.

09:33
UK unemployment rate down 0.1% to 4.3% in January

Estimates from the Labour Force Survey show that, between August to October 2017 and November 2017 to January 2018, the number of people in work and the number of unemployed people both increased, but the number of people aged from 16 to 64 not working and not seeking or available to work (economically inactive) decreased.

There were 32.25 million people in work, 168,000 more than for August to October 2017 and 402,000 more than for a year earlier.

The unemployment rate (the proportion of those in work plus those unemployed, that were unemployed) was 4.3%, down from 4.7% for a year earlier and the joint lowest since 1975.

09:30
United Kingdom: PSNB, bln, February 0.27
09:30
United Kingdom: Claimant count , February 9.2 (forecast -5)
09:30
United Kingdom: Average Earnings, 3m/y , January 2.8% (forecast 2.6%)
09:30
United Kingdom: Average earnings ex bonuses, 3 m/y, January 2.6% (forecast 2.6%)
09:30
United Kingdom: ILO Unemployment Rate, January 4.3% (forecast 4.4%)
09:02
UK Trade Sec. Fox: London Will Remain Dominant In Financial Services - BBG TV
08:27
Germany's Ifo institute confirms growth forecast for german economy of 2.6 pct in 2018 and 2.1 pct in 2019
08:27
Ifo says debate about introducing or raising tariffs in transatlantic trade and appreciation of euro is weighing on sentiment

  • Reform of tax system laid out in new german govt's coalition agreement is disappointing, answer needed to corporate tax cuts in U.S., Britain and France

  • Huge income tax cuts in U.S. and robust economic upturn in euro zone are boosting demand for german goods and services

07:39
Options levels on wednesday, March 21, 2017 EURUSD GBPUSD

EUR/USD

Resistance levels (open interest**, contracts)

$1.2505 (3394)

$1.2473 (2006)

$1.2446 (844)

Price at time of writing this review: $1.2349

Support levels (open interest**, contracts):

$1.2187 (4014)

$1.2141 (5485)

$1.2094 (3216)


Comments:

- Overall open interest on the CALL options and PUT options with the expiration date April, 6 is 97944 contracts (according to data from March, 20) with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,2150 (5485);


GBP/USD

Resistance levels (open interest**, contracts)

$1.4238 (2482)

$1.4170 (2572)

$1.4126 (307)

Price at time of writing this review: $1.4027

Support levels (open interest**, contracts):

$1.3937 (1340)

$1.3902 (1129)

$1.3864 (3495)


Comments:

- Overall open interest on the CALL options with the expiration date April, 6 is 31182 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,4200 (2721);

- Overall open interest on the PUT options with the expiration date April, 6 is 30353 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,3800 (3602);

- The ratio of PUT/CALL was 0.97 versus 0.96 from the previous trading day according to data from March, 20

* - The Chicago Mercantile Exchange bulletin (CME) is used for the calculation.

** - Open interest takes into account the total number of option contracts that are open at the moment.

07:24
US drops contentious auto-content proposal from NAFTA talks - The Globe and Mail. CAD rally
07:20
Given higher inflation, rising inflation expectations and a strong employment outlook, four U.S rate hikes are expected this year, first today - Wells Fargo

The Federal Open Market Committee had kept the rates on hold during its January meeting. However, the U.S. Fed is expected to hike the fed funds rate by 25 basis points during its meeting on Wednesday, noted Wells Fargo in a research report. Inflation has gathered momentum in recent months, with core inflation running at a 3.1 percent three-month annualized rate in February.

The average hourly earnings growth also stayed strong in February following a solid 2.8 percent year-on-year in January, and the labor market continues to tighten. Given higher inflation, rising inflation expectations and a strong employment outlook, four rate hikes are expected this year, said Wells Fargo.

07:17
Fitch on China - forecasts real GDP growth will slow to 6.5% in 2018 and 6.1% in 2019

  • Trade tensions with the US have clearly risen, posing a downside risk to our baseline outlook‍​

  • Imposition of tighter financial regulations since early 2017 has prompted a notable deceleration in credit growth‍​

  • Implication for economic policy from president XI Jinping's consolidation of power remains uncertain

07:14
Eurostoxx 50 futures up 0.1 pct, DAX futures up 0.2 pct, CAC 40 futures up 0.1 pct, FTSE futures down 0.1 pct
06:04
Global Stocks

Stock markets rose Wednesday in Asia, following modest rebounds in Europe and the U.S. that partially reversed Monday's global declines. Despite the strong start, trading volume across asset classes is likely to be muted in Asia through the day, ahead of the looming Federal Reserve interest-rate hike and updated economic projections.

European stocks ended higher on Tuesday, aided by a pullback for the euro following a weak German business sentiment reading. As well, a drop in the pound after a slowdown in British inflation helped lift U.K. blue-chip stocks.

U.S. stocks ended higher Tuesday, led by strong gains in the energy sector as the overall market reclaimed some lost ground from the previous day, when tech shares fell sharply. Market participants also were anticipating the Federal Reserve's two-day policy meeting, which started in the early afternoon. Investors are watching for signs that the central bank will take a more aggressive path toward normalizing monetary policy.

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