CFD Markets News and Forecasts — 20-02-2018

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20.02.2018
23:27
Currencies. Daily history for Feb 20’2018:

(raw materials / closing price /% change)

Oil 61.57 +0.03%

Gold 1,331.40 -1.83%

23:26
Currencies. Daily history for Feb 20’2018:

(index / closing price / change items /% change)

Nikkei -224.11 21925.10 -1.01%

TOPIX -12.70 1762.45 -0.72%

Euro Stoxx 50 +27.29 3435.08 +0.80 %

FTSE 100 -0.89 7246.77 -0.01%

DAX +102.30 12487.90 +0.83%

CAC 40 +33.68 5289.86 +0.64%

DJIA -254.63 24964.75 -1.01%

S&P 500 -15.96 2716.26 -0.58%

NASDAQ -5.16 7234.31 -0.07%

S&P/TSX -13.20 15439.44 -0.09%

23:25
Currencies. Daily history for Feb 20’2018:

(pare/closed(GMT +2)/change, %)

EUR/USD $1,2336 -0,57%

GBP/USD $1,3994 -0,01%

USD/CHF Chf0,93602 +0,77%

USD/JPY Y107,32 +0,69%

EUR/JPY Y132,40 +0,13%

GBP/JPY Y150,183 +0,67%

AUD/USD $0,7883 -0,35%

NZD/USD $0,7346 -0,32%

USD/CAD C$1,26474 +0,69%

23:06
Schedule for today, Wednesday, Feb 21’2018 (GMT0)

00:00 China Bank holiday

00:30 Australia Wage Price Index, y/y Quarter IV 2.0% 2%

00:30 Australia Wage Price Index, q/q Quarter IV 0.5% 0.5%

00:30 Australia Construction Work Done Quarter IV 15.7% -10.1%

00:30 Japan Manufacturing PMI (Preliminary) February 54.8 55.2

04:30 Japan All Industry Activity Index, m/m December 1.0% 0.5%

08:00 France Manufacturing PMI (Preliminary) February 58.4 58

08:00 France Services PMI (Preliminary) February 59.2 59

08:30 Germany Services PMI (Preliminary) February 57.3 57.0

08:30 Germany Manufacturing PMI (Preliminary) February 61.1 60.6

09:00 Eurozone Manufacturing PMI (Preliminary) February 59.6 59.6

09:00 Eurozone Services PMI (Preliminary) February 58 57.6

09:30 United Kingdom Average earnings ex bonuses, 3 m/y December 2.4% 2.4%

09:30 United Kingdom Average Earnings, 3m/y December 2.5% 2.5%

09:30 United Kingdom PSNB, bln January -0.98

09:30 United Kingdom Claimant count January 8.6 4.1

09:30 United Kingdom ILO Unemployment Rate December 4.3% 4.3%

14:00 U.S. FOMC Member Harker Speaks

14:45 U.S. Manufacturing PMI (Preliminary) February 55.5 55.3

14:45 U.S. Services PMI (Preliminary) February 53.3 54.0

15:00 U.S. Existing Home Sales January 5.57 5.61

19:00 U.S. FOMC meeting minutes

21:19
Major US stock indexes finished session on negative territory

Major US stock indexes finished trading in negative territory, suffering from the collapse of Walmart shares (WMT) and a noticeable decline in quotations of the health sector.

So, Wal-Mart reported receiving in the last reporting period a profit of $ 1.33 per share, which was $ 0.04 below the average forecast of analysts, and revenues of $ 135.15 billion (+4.2 % y / y), which slightly surpassed the average market forecast. At the same time, the forecast announced by it showed that in the fiscal year 2019 (FY) the company expects to earn profits at the level of $ 4.75-5.00 per share, which is below the average forecast of analysts $ 5.08. Wal-Mart also decided to increase the annual dividend payout for 2019 FY in the amount of $ 2.08 / share, which is 2% more than $ 2.04 / share paid for the last financial year. WMT shares in the premarket fell by 7.2%.

Brent crude oil prices declined on Tuesday amid a stronger US dollar and partial profit-taking, while WTI rose slightly, resulting in a discount between two key futures contracts reaching a six-month low.

Most components of the DOW index recorded a decline (25 out of 30). Outsider were shares Walmart Inc. (WMT, -10.11%). The leader of growth was shares of Intel Corporation (INTC, + 1.70%).

Almost all sectors of S & P finished trading in the red. The health sector showed the greatest decline (-1.1%). Only the technological sector grew (+ 0.2%).

At closing:

Dow -1.01% 24,964.75 -254.63

Nasdaq -0.07% 7,234.31 -5.16

S & P -0.58% 2,716.26 -15.96

20:00
DJIA -0.89% 24,995.20 -224.18 Nasdaq +0.08% 7,245.35 +5.89 S&P -0.47% 2,719.48 -12.74
17:00
European stocks closed: FTSE 100 -0.89 7246.77 -0.01% DAX +102.30 12487.90 +0.83% CAC 40 +33.68 5289.86 +0.64%
15:04
U.S. special counsel Mueller unveils new charges in the Russia probe against individual over false statements

  • Mueller indictment says Van Der Zwaan misled investigators about communications with Manafort partner Rick Gates

15:00
Eurozone: Consumer Confidence, February 0.1 (forecast 1.0)
14:31
U.S. Stocks open: Dow -0.54% Nasdaq -0.37%, S&P -0.36%
14:17
UAE energy minister says Russia is committed to the OPEC-led supply cut deal until end of 2018
14:04
Before the bell: S&P futures -0.50%, NASDAQ futures -0.55%

U.S. stock-index futures dropped on Tuesday, as a rise in bond yields and frustrating quarterly results and guidance from Walmart (WMT) halted a six-day winning streak for the major indexes.


Global Stocks:

Nikkei 21,925.10 -224.11 -1.01%

Hang Seng 30,873.63 -241.80 -0.78%

Shanghai -

S&P/ASX 5,940.90 -0.70 -0.01%

FTSE 7,228.65 -19.01 -0.26%

CAC 5,266.58 +10.40 +0.20%

DAX 12,407.69 +22.09 +0.18%

Crude $61.83 (+0.45%)

Gold $1,342.00 (-1.05%)

13:48
Wall Street. Stocks before the bell

(company / ticker / price / change ($/%) / volume)


3M Co

MMM

235

-1.67(-0.71%)

704

ALCOA INC.

AA

46.76

-0.60(-1.27%)

4691

ALTRIA GROUP INC.

MO

65.4

-0.06(-0.09%)

1215

Amazon.com Inc., NASDAQ

AMZN

1,446.09

-2.60(-0.18%)

44529

American Express Co

AXP

96.16

-0.63(-0.65%)

218

AMERICAN INTERNATIONAL GROUP

AIG

59.88

0.41(0.69%)

1165

Apple Inc.

AAPL

172.1

-0.33(-0.19%)

345569

AT&T Inc

T

37.1

-0.04(-0.11%)

3666

Barrick Gold Corporation, NYSE

ABX

13.03

-0.15(-1.14%)

69942

Boeing Co

BA

353.1

-1.94(-0.55%)

20653

Caterpillar Inc

CAT

155.6

-0.69(-0.44%)

6904

Chevron Corp

CVX

111.95

-0.19(-0.17%)

1669

Cisco Systems Inc

CSCO

44.14

-0.19(-0.43%)

23454

Citigroup Inc., NYSE

C

76.35

-0.47(-0.61%)

4373

Deere & Company, NYSE

DE

168.2

-1.24(-0.73%)

2261

Exxon Mobil Corp

XOM

76.16

-0.38(-0.50%)

35007

Facebook, Inc.

FB

176.69

-0.67(-0.38%)

71997

Ford Motor Co.

F

10.59

-0.02(-0.19%)

18945

Freeport-McMoRan Copper & Gold Inc., NYSE

FCX

18.45

-0.28(-1.49%)

15561

General Electric Co

GE

14.97

-0.08(-0.53%)

101757

General Motors Company, NYSE

GM

40.92

-0.17(-0.41%)

10290

Hewlett-Packard Co.

HPQ

21.2

-0.20(-0.93%)

920

Home Depot Inc

HD

192.02

5.05(2.70%)

140674

HONEYWELL INTERNATIONAL INC.

HON

154.48

0.45(0.29%)

571

Intel Corp

INTC

45.38

-0.18(-0.40%)

59548

International Business Machines Co...

IBM

155.7

-0.48(-0.31%)

5136

Johnson & Johnson

JNJ

133.27

0.12(0.09%)

4853

JPMorgan Chase and Co

JPM

114.35

-0.33(-0.29%)

4785

McDonald's Corp

MCD

157.2

-0.59(-0.37%)

2513

Merck & Co Inc

MRK

56.1

-0.19(-0.34%)

3488

Microsoft Corp

MSFT

91.5

-0.50(-0.54%)

31622

Nike

NKE

67.81

-0.49(-0.72%)

2391

Pfizer Inc

PFE

36.24

-0.02(-0.06%)

3823

Procter & Gamble Co

PG

82.16

-0.44(-0.53%)

2113

Starbucks Corporation, NASDAQ

SBUX

56.24

-0.24(-0.42%)

444

Tesla Motors, Inc., NASDAQ

TSLA

334.29

-1.20(-0.36%)

19701

The Coca-Cola Co

KO

44.95

-0.03(-0.07%)

2801

Twitter, Inc., NYSE

TWTR

32.77

-0.29(-0.88%)

46061

United Technologies Corp

UTX

129

-0.26(-0.20%)

662

Verizon Communications Inc

VZ

50.05

-0.10(-0.20%)

996

Visa

V

121.63

-0.22(-0.18%)

3067

Wal-Mart Stores Inc

WMT

96.66

-8.12(-7.75%)

1051184

Walt Disney Co

DIS

106.59

0.06(0.06%)

9340

Yandex N.V., NASDAQ

YNDX

42.15

0.05(0.12%)

8015

13:41
Canadian wholesale sales declined 0.5% to $63.0 billion in December

Wholesale sales declined 0.5% to $63.0 billion in December, the first decrease in three months. Lower sales were recorded in five of seven subsectors, representing 65% of total wholesale sales. The personal and household goods and the miscellaneous subsectors led the decline.

In volume terms, wholesale sales declined 0.9%.

In the fourth quarter, current dollar wholesale sales increased 1.1% while constant dollar sales increased 0.7%. For both current and constant dollars, this marked the seventh consecutive quarterly increase.

13:30
Canada: Wholesale Sales, m/m, December -0.5% (forecast 0.4%)
12:51
Company News: Home Depot (HD) quarterly earnings beat analysts’ expectations

Home Depot (HD) reported Q4 FY 2018 earnings of $1.69 per share (versus $1.44 in Q4 FY 2017), beating analysts' consensus estimate of $1.64.

The company's quarterly revenues amounted to $23.883 bln (+7.5% y/y), generally in-line with analysts' consensus estimate of $23.653 bln.

The company issued in-line guidance for FY 2019, projecting EPS of $9.31 (versus analysts' consensus estimate of $9.32) at revenues of $107.46 bln (versus analysts' consensus estimate of $107.09 bln).

It also increased quarterly dividend to $1.03/share from $0.89/share.

HD rose to $192.78 (+3.11%) in pre-market trading.

12:25
Company News: Wal-Mart (WMT) quarterly earnings miss analysts’ estimates

Wal-Mart (WMT) reported Q4 FY 2018 earnings of $1.33 per share (versus $1.30 in Q4 FY 2017), missing analysts' consensus estimate of $1.37.

The company's quarterly revenues amounted to $135.150 bln (+4.2% y/y), beating analysts' consensus estimate of $133.627 bln.

The company issued downside EPS guidance for FY 2019, projecting EPS of $4.75-5.00 versus analysts' consensus estimate of $5.08.

It also approved an annual cash dividend for FY 2019 of $2.08 per share, an increase of 2 percent from the $2.04 per share paid for the last fiscal year.

WMT fell to $100.74 (-3.86%) in pre-market trading.

11:37
UAE energy min says leaderships of UAE, Saudi Arabia, Russia support extended energy cooperation beyond 2018
11:04
UK manufacturing order books and export order books remained well above their long run average says CBI

Manufacturing order books and export order books remained well above their long run average, according to the latest monthly CBI Industrial Trends Survey.

According to the survey of 397 manufacturers, output grew at a healthy pace in the three months to February. Growth was broad-based with output growing in 16 out of 17 sub-sectors with growth predominantly driven by Food, Drink and Tobacco, and Motor Vehicle and Transport Equipment sub-sectors. Respondents anticipate that output growth will slow a little over the next three months, broadly matching the pace seen in September and October last year.

11:02
UAE energy minister tells Reuters UAE is expected to over-deliver on production cuts in Q1, due to maintenance, commitment with OPEC-led pact
11:01
Sterling reverses loses versus dollar, now GBP/USD up 0.1 pct at $1.4006, after media report on EU approach to Brexit talks
11:00
United Kingdom: CBI industrial order books balance, February 10 (forecast 10)
10:59
The ZEW Indicator of Economic Sentiment for Germany recorded a decrease of 2.6 points in February

The ZEW Indicator of Economic Sentiment for Germany recorded a decrease of 2.6 points in February 2018 and currently stands at 17.8 points. The indicator thus still remains slightly below the long-term average of 23.7 points. The assessment of the current economic situation in Germany decreased by 2.9 points, with the corresponding indicator currently standing at 92.3 points.

"The latest survey results continue to show a positive outlook for the German economy. The assessment of the current economic situation is still on a very high level and the economy is expected to improve in the coming six months. Economic growth in Germany is substantially driven by the very good development of both the global economy and private consumption. Inflation expectations for Germany and the Eurozone have also started to increase," comments ZEW President Professor Achim Wambach.

10:03
The European Parliament is to call for Britain to have 'privileged' single market access after Brexit @businessinsider
10:00
Eurozone: ZEW Economic Sentiment, February 29.3 (forecast 28.4)
10:00
Germany: ZEW Survey - Economic Sentiment, February 17.8 (forecast 16.0)
08:35
Major European stock exchanges trading in the green zone: FTSE 7247.72 +0.06 0%, DAX 12419.49 +33.89 + 0.27%, CAC 5264.90 +8.72 + 0.17%
07:15
Asked whether decision paves way for german head of ECB, De Guindos says there is no conditionality attached to his appointment
07:14
Spain's De Guindos says he will resign as economy minister within days after being chosen as ECB vice president

  • Steps need to be taken to deepen economic and monetary union

  • Having been a minister does not limit independence of ECB, will defend its independence

07:13
RBA says global growth could continue to surprise on upside given synchronised upturn

  • Housing market conditions had generally eased, especially in Sydney

  • Global financial conditions accommodative despite recent volatility in equity markets

  • High household debt levels still warranted careful attention

  • Underlying inflation seen rising gradually to 2.25 pct by mid-2020

07:11
RBA minutes: low rates helping reduce unemployment, lift inflation

  • Further progress on inflation likely to be only gradual

  • A$ still within narrow range of past couple of years

  • Repeats rising A$ would impede pick up in economic growth, inflation

  • Wage growth remained subdued despite strong employment, recent deals to weigh on growth

07:09
Eurostoxx 50 futures up 0.1 pct, DAX futures up 0.2 pct, CAC 40 futures up 0.1 pct, FTSE futures up 0.2 pct, IBEX futures up 0.1 pct
07:08
Swiss trade balance surplus rose less than epxected last month

After strong growth in December 2017, exports slid seasonally in January 2018 clearly negative (- 4.2 percent, real: - 5.1 percent). Nevertheless, the Exports the second highest monthly result, thereby increasing the overall positive trend the past months confirmed. Meanwhile, imports increased to the previous month 7.5 percent (real: + 3.8 percent) and reached an all-time high. This is the last since the end In 2016, the upward trend continued to register. The contrasting course between Exports and imports resulted in the lowest surplus (1323 million Francs) in the trade balance since January 2012.

07:07
German producer price index rose 0.5% in January, as expected

In January 2018 the index of producer prices for industrial products rose by 2.1 compared with the corresponding month of the preceding year. In December 2017 the annual rate of change all over had been 2.3%, as reported by the Federal Statistical Office.

Compared with the preceding month December 2017 the overall index rose by 0.5% in January 2018 (+0.2% in December 2017 and 0.1% in November 2017).

In January 2018 the price indices of all main industrial groups increased compared with January 2017: Prices of intermediate rose goods by 3.1%. Energy prices were up 2.2%, though the development of prices of the different energy carriers diverged. Prices of petroleum products increased by 2.3% and prices of electricity by 4.9%, whereas prices of natural gas (distribution) decreased by 0.6%. Prices of non-durable consumer goods rose by 1.5%. Prices of durable consumer goods increased by 1.5% whereas prices of capital goods increased by 1.2%.

07:00
Germany: Producer Price Index (MoM), January 0.5% (forecast 0.3%)
07:00
Germany: Producer Price Index (YoY), January 2.1% (forecast 1.9%)
07:00
Switzerland: Trade Balance, January 1.324 (forecast 2.78)
06:34
Global Stocks

European stocks closed lower Monday, dragged down in part by falls for consumer products heavyweight Reckitt Benckiser Group PLC and German automobile maker Daimler AG. Traders confronted a scarcity of catalysts in what was a relatively quiet day, with equity markets in the U.S. and China closed for holidays.

U.S. stock futures were trading lower on Monday, reversing Friday's mostly upbeat action, though analysts warned against reading too much into the moves, given traders are off for Presidents Day. American stock markets and the bond market are closed for the holiday, and there are no economic releases expected, as federal agencies are shuttered.

Asian stocks were largely lower Tuesday, though Hong Kong equities rebounded from early weakness following the Lunar New Year holiday. The Hang Seng Index HSI, -0.30% slipped 0.3%, after earlier dropping as much as 1.3% when big financial stocks, particularly China-based companies, experienced weakness. Index heavyweights Tencent 0700, +0.63% and HSBC HSBC, +0.15% each rose nearly 1%.

05:46
Options levels on tuesday, February 20, 2017

EUR/USD

Resistance levels (open interest**, contracts)

$1.2555 (3727)

$1.2512 (2116)

$1.2484 (2664)

Price at time of writing this review: $1.2387

Support levels (open interest**, contracts):

$1.2358 (1131)

$1.2335 (2858)

$1.2308 (6241)


Comments:

- Overall open interest on the CALL options and PUT options with the expiration date March, 9 is 129052 contracts (according to data from February, 16) with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,2400 (6241);


GBP/USD

Resistance levels (open interest**, contracts)

$1.4182 (2388)

$1.4158 (1921)

$1.4119 (3712)

Price at time of writing this review: $1.3980

Support levels (open interest**, contracts):

$1.3947 (620)

$1.3905 (1300)

$1.3850 (799)


Comments:

- Overall open interest on the CALL options with the expiration date March, 9 is 48082 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,3900 (3712);

- Overall open interest on the PUT options with the expiration date March, 9 is 44869 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,3900 (2352);

- The ratio of PUT/CALL was 0.93 versus 0.94 from the previous trading day according to data from February, 16

* - The Chicago Mercantile Exchange bulletin (CME) is used for the calculation.

** - Open interest takes into account the total number of option contracts that are open at the moment.

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