CFD Markets News and Forecasts — 12-06-2018

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12.06.2018
22:50
New Zealand: Food Prices Index, y/y, May -0.1%
22:34
Commodities. Daily history for June 12’2018:


Raw materials

Closing price

% change

Oil

66.09

-0.02%

Gold

1,299.30

-0.30%

22:32
Stocks. Daily history for June 12’2018:


Index

Closing price

Change items

% change

Nikkei

+109.54

22804.04

+0.48%

TOPIX

+5.40

1786.84

+0.30%

Hang Seng

+105.49

31063.70

+0.34%

CSI 300

+0.36

3779.98

+0.01%

Euro Stoxx 50

-4.64

3475.58

-0.13%

FTSE 100

-33.62

7703.81

-0.43%

DAX

-0.61

12842.30

+0.00%

CAC 40

-20.54

5453.37

-0.38%

DJIA

-1.58

25320.73

-0.01%

S&P 500

+4.85

2786.85

+0.17%

NASDAQ

+43.87

7703.79

+0.57%

22:29
Currencies. Daily history for June 12’2018:


Pare

Closed

% change

EUR/USD

$1,1744

-0,32%

GBP/USD

$1,3373

-0,04%

USD/CHF

Chf0,98696

+0,19%

USD/JPY

Y129,63

+0,30%

EUR/JPY

Y129,66

-0,02%

GBP/JPY

Y147,605

+0,26%

AUD/USD

$0,7575

-0,43%

NZD/USD

$0,7006

-0,21%

USD/CAD

C$1,30122

+0,21%

22:00
Schedule for today, Wednesday, June 13’2018 (GMT+3)


Time

A country


Index


Period

Previous value

Forecast

00:30

Australia

Westpac Consumer Confidence

June

101.8


02:00

Australia

RBA's Governor Philip Lowe Speaks




07:15

Switzerland


Producer & Import Prices, y/y

May

2.7%

3.2%

08:30

United Kingdom


Producer Price Index - Output (YoY)

May

2.7%

2.9%

08:30

United Kingdom

Retail Price Index, m/m

May

0.5%

0.4%

08:30

United Kingdom


Producer Price Index - Input (YoY)

May

5.3%

7.6%

08:30

United Kingdom

Producer Price Index - Input (MoM)

Май

0.4%

1.6%

08:30

United Kingdom


Producer Price Index - Output (MoM)

May

0.3%

0.3%

08:30

United Kingdom


Retail prices, Y/Y

May

3.4%

3.4%

08:30

United Kingdom


HICP ex EFAT, Y/Y

Май

2.1%

2.1%

08:30

United Kingdom

HICP, m/m

May

0.4%

0.4%

08:30

United Kingdom

HICP, Y/Y

May

2.4%

2.5%

09:00

Eurozone

Employment Change

IQ

0.3%

0.3%

09:00

Eurozone

Industrial production, (MoM)

April

0.5%

-0.5%

09:00

Eurozone

Industrial Production (YoY)

April

3.0%

2.8%

12:30

USA

PPI excluding food and energy, Y/Y

May

2.3%

2.3%

12:30

USA

PPI, y/y

May

2.6%

2.8%

12:30

USA

PPI, m/m

May

0.1%

0.3%

12:30

USA

PPI excluding food and energy, m/m

May

0.2%

0.2%

14:30

USA

Crude Oil Inventories

June

2.072

-2.9

18:00

USA

Fed Interest Rate Decision


1.75%

2%

18:00

USA

FOMC Economic Projections




18:00

USA

FOMC Statement




18:30

USA

Federal Reserve Press Conference




20:19
The main US stock indexes finished trading mostly in positive territory

Major US stock indexes mostly rose Tuesday, as investors focused on the Federal Reserve meeting, and evaluated the historic summit of President Donald Trump with North Korean leader Kim Jong-no.

In addition, according to the report of the Ministry of Labor, consumer prices in the US rose in May, reflecting that price pressure in the economy remains stable. According to the data, the consumer price index increased by 0.2% in seasonally adjusted terms in May compared to the previous month. With the elimination of unstable energy and food categories, so-called base prices also increased by 0.2% in May. Economists had expected base prices to grow by 0.1%, and the overall index would increase by 0.2% from April. In May, the total prices increased by 2.8% compared to the previous year, and base prices rose by 2.2% on an annualized basis. Economists had expected the overall figure to reach 2.7% during the year, and the base figure would increase by 2.2% in May. Thus, last month inflation was the strongest since February 2012, when inflation was 2.9%.

At the same time, the index of small business optimism from the National Federation of Independent Business (NFIB) in May rose by 3 points to 107.8 points, its second largest level in 45 years and the strongest level in the recovery period. The index approached the record level of 108, reached in July 1983.

Most components of DOW finished trading in the red (18 out of 30). Outsider were the shares of Verizon Communications Inc. (VZ, -1.14%). Leader of growth were shares of Visa Inc. (V, + 0.80%).

Most sectors of the S & P recorded a rise. The utilities sector grew most (+ 1.1%), while the base materials sector showed the greatest decrease (-0.7%).

At closing:

Dow 25,320.73 -1.58 -0.01%

S&P 500 2,786.85 +4.85 +0.17%

Nasdaq 100 7,703.79 +43.87 +0.57%

19:00
DJIA -0.23% 25,264.14 -58.17 Nasdaq +0.26% 7,679.91 +19.98 S&P -0.04% 2,780.95 -1.05
18:00
U.S.: Federal budget , May -147 (forecast -144)
16:02
European stocks closed: FTSE 100 -33.62 7703.81 -0.43% DAX -0.61 12842.30 0.00% CAC 40 -20.54 5453.37 -0.38%
14:14
The U.S 10-year Treasury note yield was up 1.5 basis points to 2.972%. The 2-year note yield added 1.3 basis point to 2.541%, while the 30-year bond yield picked up 1.1 basis points to 3.108%
13:35
U.S. Stocks open: Dow +0.13% Nasdaq +0.32%, S&P +0.19%
13:25
Before the bell: S&P futures +0.06%, NASDAQ futures +0.03%

U.S. stock-index futures were flat on Tuesday, reflecting a muted reaction of investors to the outcome of a historic meeting between the leaders of the U.S. and North Korea.


Global Stocks:

Index/commodity

Last

Today's Change, points

Today's Change, %

Nikkei

22,878.35

+74.31

+0.33%

Hang Seng

31,103.06

+39.36

+0.13%

Shanghai

3,080.55

+27.77

+0.91%

S&P/ASX

6,054.40

+9.20

+0.15%

FTSE

7,711.77

-25.66

-0.33%

CAC

5,459.17

-14.74

-0.27%

DAX

12,819.68

-23.23

-0.18%

Crude

$66.04


-0.09%

Gold

$1,299.30


-0.30%

12:49
Wall Street. Stocks before the bell

(company / ticker / price / change ($/%) / volume)

Amazon.com Inc., NASDAQ

AMZN

1,693.70

4.58(0.27%)

14417

Apple Inc.

AAPL

191.48

0.25(0.13%)

67525

AT&T Inc

T

34.5

0.32(0.94%)

149666

Barrick Gold Corporation, NYSE

ABX

13.06

-0.14(-1.06%)

27740

Boeing Co

BA

372

1.06(0.29%)

6570

Chevron Corp

CVX

127.5

-0.06(-0.05%)

200

Cisco Systems Inc

CSCO

43.61

-0.08(-0.18%)

5816

Citigroup Inc., NYSE

C

68.17

0.06(0.09%)

1435

Exxon Mobil Corp

XOM

83.02

-0.08(-0.10%)

2691

Facebook, Inc.

FB

192.11

0.57(0.30%)

51720

FedEx Corporation, NYSE

FDX

262.6

0.63(0.24%)

220

Ford Motor Co.

F

12.05

0.02(0.17%)

5045

Freeport-McMoRan Copper & Gold Inc., NYSE

FCX

18.23

0.04(0.22%)

1300

General Electric Co

GE

14.04

0.06(0.43%)

77059

General Motors Company, NYSE

GM

44.9

0.05(0.11%)

581

Goldman Sachs

GS

234.58

0.49(0.21%)

578

Google Inc.

GOOG

1,132.90

2.91(0.26%)

1884

Hewlett-Packard Co.

HPQ

23.99

0.12(0.50%)

720

Home Depot Inc

HD

199.98

0.34(0.17%)

380

Intel Corp

INTC

54.7

0.18(0.33%)

27133

International Business Machines Co...

IBM

146.54

-0.04(-0.03%)

1518

Johnson & Johnson

JNJ

122.8

0.14(0.11%)

3996

JPMorgan Chase and Co

JPM

112.2

1.37(1.24%)

18650

McDonald's Corp

MCD

167

0.51(0.31%)

523

Merck & Co Inc

MRK

62.02

-0.31(-0.50%)

959

Microsoft Corp

MSFT

101.17

0.12(0.12%)

18282

Nike

NKE

74.6

0.01(0.01%)

1114

Pfizer Inc

PFE

36.24

-0.06(-0.17%)

507

Procter & Gamble Co

PG

77.76

0.23(0.30%)

2906

Tesla Motors, Inc., NASDAQ

TSLA

343.25

11.15(3.36%)

306352

The Coca-Cola Co

KO

44.2

0.07(0.16%)

2041

Twitter, Inc., NYSE

TWTR

42.69

1.27(3.07%)

897764

UnitedHealth Group Inc

UNH

253.79

0.01(0.00%)

100

Verizon Communications Inc

VZ

49.35

0.05(0.10%)

857

Visa

V

134.19

0.28(0.21%)

1391

Wal-Mart Stores Inc

WMT

84.36

0.06(0.07%)

1623

Walt Disney Co

DIS

104.09

-0.26(-0.25%)

10815

12:47
Target price changes before the market open

Target price changes before the market open

Twitter (TWTR) target raised by $11 to $50 at J.P. Morgan

12:43
Downgrades before the market open
12:33
U.S CPI inflation rose 0.2% in May, as expected

The Consumer Price Index increased 0.2 percent in May on a seasonally adjusted basis after rising 0.2 percent in April, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Over the last 12 months, the all items index rose 2.8 percent before seasonal adjustment.

The indexes for gasoline and shelter were the largest factors in the seasonally adjusted increase in the all items index, as they were in April. The gasolin index increased 1.7 percent, more than offsetting declines in some of the other energy component indexes and led to a 0.9-percent rise in the energy index. The medical care index rose 0.2 percent. The food index was unchanged over the month.

The all items index rose 2.8 percent for the 12 months ending May, continuing its upward trend since the beginning of the year. The index for all items less food and energy rose 2.2 percent for the 12 months ending May. The food index increased 1.2 percent, and the energy index rose 11.7 percent.

12:30
U.S.: CPI, Y/Y, May 2.8% (forecast 2.7%)
12:30
U.S.: CPI excluding food and energy, Y/Y, May 2.2% (forecast 2.2%)
12:30
U.S.: CPI, m/m , May 0.2% (forecast 0.2%)
12:30
U.S.: CPI excluding food and energy, m/m, May 0.2% (forecast 0.1%)
11:19
OPEC: Crude Oil Output Up By 35,000 B/D in May

  • Lifts 2018 Non-OPEC Oil Supply Forecast, Citing US Production

  • 2018 Non-OPEC Oil Supply Forecast By 130,000 B/D

  • Keeps Oil Demand Forecasts Largely Unchanged

  • OECD Commercial Oil Inventories 26M Barrels Below Last 5-Year Avg in April

10:26
The ZEW Indicator of Economic Sentiment for Germany recorded a decrease of 7.9 points in June

The ZEW Indicator of Economic Sentiment for Germany recorded a decrease of 7.9 points in June 2018 and now stands at minus 16.1 points. This is the lowest reading since September 2012 and well below the long-term average of 23.3 points. The assessment of the current economic situation in Germany decreased by 6.8 points, leaving the corresponding indicator at 80.6 points.

"The recent escalation in the trade dispute with the United States as well as fears over the new Italian government pursuing a policy which potentially destabilises the financial markets have left their mark on the economic outlook for Germany. On top of this, German industry has been reporting worse than expected figures for exports, production and incoming orders for April. As a result, the economic outlook for the next six months has worsened considerably," comments ZEW President Professor Achim Wambach.

09:00
Eurozone: ZEW Economic Sentiment, June -12.6 (forecast 0.1)
09:00
Germany: ZEW Survey - Economic Sentiment, June -16.1 (forecast -14)
08:34
UK average weekly earnings + bonus in line with expectations in April

Latest estimates show that average weekly earnings (that is, not adjusted for price inflation) increased by 2.8% excluding bonuses, and by 2.5% including bonuses, compared with a year earlier.

Latest estimates show that average weekly earnings increased by 0.4% excluding bonuses, and by 0.1% including bonuses, compared with a year earlier.

08:33
UK unemployment rate stable at 4.2% in April

Estimates from the Labour Force Survey show that, between November 2017 to January 2018 and February to April 2018, the number of people in work increased, the number of unemployed people decreased and the number of people aged from 16 to 64 years not working and not seeking or available to work (economically inactive) also decreased.

There were 32.39 million people in work, 146,000 more than for November 2017 to January 2018 and 440,000 more than for a year earlier.

The employment rate (the proportion of people aged from 16 to 64 years who were in work) was 75.6%, higher than for a year earlier (74.8%) and the joint highest since comparable records began in 1971.

The unemployment rate (the proportion of people in work plus unemployed people, who were unemployed) was 4.2%, down from 4.6% for a year earlier and the joint lowest since 1975.

08:30
United Kingdom: Average Earnings, 3m/y , April 2.5% (forecast 2.5%)
08:30
United Kingdom: ILO Unemployment Rate, April 4.2% (forecast 4.2%)
08:30
United Kingdom: Average earnings ex bonuses, 3 m/y, April 2.8% (forecast 2.9%)
08:30
United Kingdom: Claimant count , May -7.7 (forecast 11.3)
08:26
US Pres Trump: Sanctions on North Korea Will Remain In Effect For Meantime @LiveSquawk
08:01
Moody's raises outlook for Spanish banking system to positive as troubled assets decline

Moody's has raised its outlook for Spain's banking system to positive from stable, as robust economic growth and disposals of troubled assets help banks bolster their asset quality. In the rating agency's view, other fundamental factors such as capital, funding and liquidity levels and profitability will remain stable.

"The stock of non-performing loans at Spanish banks will continue to decline on the back of a growing economy," said Alberto Postigo, a Vice President and Senior Credit Officer, at Moody's. "Asset quality will be further improved by the large sales of troubled assets on which several Spanish banks are embarking."

07:13
Romania's trade deficit little changed y/y

Romania's foreign trade deficit decreased slightly in April from a year ago, figures from the National Institute of Statistics showed Monday.

The trade deficit dropped to EUR 1.01 billion in April from EUR 1.05 billion in the corresponding month last year. The shortfall also fell from EUR 01.06 billion in March.

Both exports and imports advanced by 9.7 percent and 7.3 percent, respectively in April from last year, says rttnews.

06:53
Options levels on tuesday, June 12, 2018 EURUSD GBPUSD

EUR/USD

Resistance levels (open interest**, contracts)

$1.1941 (1407)

$1.1913 (943)

$1.1875 (81)

Price at time of writing this review: $1.1765

Support levels (open interest**, contracts):

$1.1700 (3070)

$1.1663 (2405)

$1.1622 (1562)


Comments:

- Overall open interest on the CALL options and PUT options with the expiration date July, 9 is 87906 contracts (according to data from June, 11) with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,1500 (5703);


GBP/USD

Resistance levels (open interest**, contracts)

$1.3534 (843)

$1.3498 (330)

$1.3460 (125)

Price at time of writing this review: $1.3349

Support levels (open interest**, contracts):

$1.3307 (1975)

$1.3277 (2031)

$1.3243 (1290)


Comments:

- Overall open interest on the CALL options with the expiration date July, 9 is 20673 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,3800 (2253);

- Overall open interest on the PUT options with the expiration date July, 9 is 22156 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,3100 (2233);

- The ratio of PUT/CALL was 1.07 versus 1.07 from the previous trading day according to data from June, 11.

* - The Chicago Mercantile Exchange bulletin (CME) is used for the calculation.

** - Open interest takes into account the total number of option contracts that are open at the moment.

06:14
Our Great Larry Kudlow has just suffered a heart attack. He is now in Walter Reed Medical Center @realDonaldTrump

White House Economic Adviser Lawrence Kudlow Suffers Heart Attack.

Larry Kudlow, President Donald Trump's top economic adviser, suffered a heart attack and was hospitalized at Walter Reed Medical Center, Mr. Trump tweeted.

06:11
Australian business conditions index decreased by 6pts to +15 index points

The business conditions index decreased by 6pts to +15 index points, easing back from the historical highs seen in April. The business confidence index fell by 5pts to +6 index points, to be around its long-run average level.

Conditions eased in most industries in May, with the exception of transport & utilities and retail but overall conditions remain at or above average levels. In trend terms, conditions remain strongest in mining.

According to Alan Oster, NAB Group Chief Economist "Despite the easing in the business conditions index in May, conditions remain robust in the business sector. Conditions remain well above average across most states and industries."

06:09
Japan producer prices rose more than expected in May

Producer prices in Japan climbed 0.6 percent on month in May, according to rttnews.

That topped expectations for an increase of 0.2 percent, which would have been unchanged from April following an upward revision from 0.1 percent.

On a yearly basis, producer prices jumped 2.7 percent - also exceeding expectations for 2.1 percent, which would have been unchanged from the previous month following an upward revision from 2.0 percent.

Export prices were up 1.1 percent on month and 2.4 percent on year, the bank said, while import prices jumped 2.7 percent on month and 6.5 percent on year.

06:06
Trump: Signing Very Important Document To Hold News Conference At 2.30PM (Local Time) Pretty Comprehensible Document @LiveSquawk
06:05
Trump and Kim Jong Un will sign an agreement to acknowledge the progress of the talks and pledge to keep momentum going, a US official told CNN
06:04
In Q1 2018, French net payroll job creation reached 48,800, that is an increase of +0.2% after an increase of +0.4% in the previous quarter

Almost stable in the public sector, payroll employment increased by 47,700 in the private sector. Year on year, it rose by 288,200 net jobs (+1.2%): 301,200 jobs were created in the private sector and 13,000 jobs were destroyed in the public service.

Payroll employment stabilized in industry in Q1 2018 (that is 0.0%, after +0.2%), showing nonetheless a year on year increase (+5,600).

The growth of payroll employment in construction continued, but at a slower pace than in the previous quarter : +3,600 (that is +0.3%), after +12,100 in the previous quarter (that is +0.9%). Year on year, the increase reached +25,600 jobs (that is +1.9%).

05:46
France: Non-Farm Payrolls, Quarter I 0.2%
04:46
Japan: Tertiary Industry Index , April 1% (forecast 0.6%)
01:46
Australia: National Australia Bank's Business Confidence, May 6 (forecast 9)
01:30
Australia: Home Loans , April -1.4% (forecast -1.9%)

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