CFD Markets News and Forecasts — 11-09-2018

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11.09.2018
23:50
Japan: BSI Manufacturing Index, Quarter III 6.5 (forecast 8.0)
22:37
Commodities. Daily history for September 11’ 2018:


Raw materials

Closing price

% change

Oil

$69.91

+3.51%

Gold

$1,203.60

+0.32%

22:32
Stocks. Daily history for September 11’ 2018:


Index

Change items

Closing price

% change

Nikkei

+291.60

22664.69

+1.30%

TOPIX

+11.30

1698.91

+0.67%

Hang Seng

-190.87

26422.55

-0.72%

CSI 300

-5.86

3224.21

-0.18%

KOSPI

-5.46

2283.20

-0.24%

FTSE 100

-5.76

7273.54

-0.08%

DAX

-16.07

11970.27

-0.13%

CAC 40

+14.16

5283.79

+0.27%

DJIA

+113.99

25971.06

+0.44%

S&P 500

+10.76

2887.89

+0.37%

NASDAQ

+48.31

7972.47

+0.61%

22:28
Currencies. Daily history for September 11’ 2018:


Pare

Closed

% change

EUR/USD

$1,1599

+0,03%

GBP/USD

$1,3016

-0,08%

USD/CHF

Chf0,97274

-0,20%

USD/JPY

Y111,60

+0,46%

EUR/JPY

Y129,45

+0,49%

GBP/JPY

Y145,269

+0,38%

AUD/USD

$0,7116

+0,04%

NZD/USD

$0,6521

-0,03%

USD/CAD

C$1,30608

-0,74%

20:10
The major US stock indexes finished trading in positive territory

The main US stock indexes have grown moderately due to the increase in technological stocks, which have become cheaper in the last few days.

The focus was also on the United States. As it became known, wholesale stocks in the US grew slightly less than originally expected in July, as vehicle stocks fell even more, but probably the result will not change expectations that investment in stocks will support economic growth in the third quarter. The Ministry of Commerce reported that wholesale stocks rose by 0.6%, and not by 0.7%, as reported last month.

At the same time, the JOLTS survey, published by the US Bureau of Labor Statistics, showed that in July the number of vacancies increased to a new record high, to 6.939 million from 6.822 million in June (revised from 6.662 million). Analysts had expected the number of vacancies to drop to 6.68 million. The vacancy rate was 4.4%, unchanged from June. The number of vacancies has changed little in both the private sector and the government. As for the branches, the number of vacancies increased in the area of ​​finance and insurance (+46 000) and the production of short-term goods (+32 000), but declined in retail trade (-85 000), in educational services (-34 000) and in the federal government (-19,000).

Oil prices have risen by almost $ 2, as the upcoming US sanctions cut Iran's crude oil exports, toughening global supplies, despite Washington's attempts to force other producers to increase production.

Most components of DOW have finished trading in positive territory (18 out of 30). The leader of growth was the shares of Apple Inc. (AAPL, + 2.24%). Outsider were shares of Intel Corporation (INTC, -2.98%).

Most sectors of the S & P recorded a rise. The base materials sector grew most (+ 0.7%), while the utilities sector showed the greatest decrease (-0.4%)

At closing:

Dow 25,971.06 +113.99 +0.44%

S & P 500 2,887.89 +10.76 +0.37%

Nasdaq 100 7,972.47 +48.31 +0.61%

19:00
DJIA +0.53% 25,993.14 +136.07 Nasdaq +0.61% 7,972.17 +48.01 S&P +0.46% 2,890.47 +13.34
16:00
European stocks closed: FTSE 100 -5.76 7273.54 -0.08% DAX -16.07 11970.27 -0.13% CAC 40 +14.16 5283.79 +0.27%
14:11
The number of U.S job openings was little changed at 6.9 million on the last business day of July

The number of job openings was little changed at 6.9 million on the last business day of July, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Over the month, hires and separations were little changed at 5.7 million and 5.5 million, respectively. Within separations, the quits rate was little changed at 2.4
percent and the layoffs and discharges rate was unchanged at 1.1 percent. This release includes estimates of the number and rate of job openings, hires, and separations for the nonfarm sector by industry and by four geographic regions.

14:00
U.S.: JOLTs Job Openings, July 6.939 (forecast 6.68)
14:00
U.S.: Wholesale Inventories, July 0.6% (forecast 0.7%)
13:34
U.S. Stocks open: Dow -0.33%, Nasdaq -0.47%, S&P -0.29%
13:27
Before the bell: S&P futures -0.36%, NASDAQ futures -0.49%

U.S. stock-index futures fell on Thursday, weighed down by concerns over escalating U.S.-China trade tensions.


Global Stocks:

Index/commodity

Last

Today's Change, points

Today's Change, %

Nikkei

22,664.69

+291.60

+1.30%

Hang Seng

26,422.55

-190.87

-0.72%

Shanghai

2,664.80

-4.69

-0.18%

S&P/ASX

6,179.70

+38.00

+0.62%

FTSE

7,239.59

-39.71

-0.55%

CAC

5,250.27

-19.36

-0.37%

DAX

11,912.80

-73.54

-0.61%

Crude

$67.60


+0.09%

Gold

$1,194.30


-0.46%

12:52
Wall Street. Stocks before the bell

(company / ticker / price / change ($/%) / volume)


Boeing Co

BA

338.3

-3.56(-1.04%)

15890

Citigroup Inc., NYSE

C

69.35

-0.28(-0.40%)

8550

Deere & Company, NYSE

DE

147.5

-1.11(-0.75%)

1100

Exxon Mobil Corp

XOM

81.4

-0.31(-0.38%)

1729

Facebook, Inc.

FB

163.9

-0.28(-0.17%)

76825

Ford Motor Co.

F

9.33

-0.05(-0.53%)

32312

General Electric Co

GE

12.48

-0.03(-0.24%)

10017

Google Inc.

GOOG

1,160.00

-4.64(-0.40%)

24286

HONEYWELL INTERNATIONAL INC.

HON

163

-0.37(-0.23%)

613

International Business Machines Co...

IBM

145.67

0.02(0.01%)

387

JPMorgan Chase and Co

JPM

113.25

-0.46(-0.40%)

12666

Procter & Gamble Co

PG

82.25

-0.13(-0.16%)

439

Tesla Motors, Inc., NASDAQ

TSLA

278

-7.50(-2.63%)

206891

Twitter, Inc., NYSE

TWTR

30.3

-0.24(-0.79%)

44611

Verizon Communications Inc

VZ

54.07

-0.05(-0.09%)

1462

Visa

V

143.99

-0.09(-0.06%)

5210

Wal-Mart Stores Inc

WMT

96.85

-0.05(-0.05%)

4222

Walt Disney Co

DIS

110.19

-0.49(-0.44%)

281

Yandex N.V., NASDAQ

YNDX

30.02

-0.30(-0.99%)

3771

12:47
Analyst coverage initiations before the market open

Exxon Mobil (XOM) initiated with a Hold at Berenberg; target $84

Chevron (CVX) initiated with a Hold at Berenberg; target $135

12:46
Analyst coverage resumption before the market open

General Motors (GM) resumed with a Neutral at Goldman; target $36

12:45
Downgrades before the market open

Tesla (TSLA) downgraded to Neutral from Buy at Nomura

12:45
Upgrades before the market open

NIKE (NKE) upgraded to Buy from Hold at Canaccord Genuity

12:31
Irish PM Varadkar says Brexit deal may be within weeks - Bloomberg
12:31
Canadian housing starts continued to decline in August from the historical peak that was recorded in March

The national trend in housing starts continued to decline in August from the historical peak that was recorded in March 2018. This moderation brings total starts closer to historical averages, largely reflecting recent declines in the trend of multi-unit starts from historically elevated levels earlier in the year.

The trend in housing starts was 214,598 units in August 2018, compared to 219,656 units in July 2018. This trend measure is a six-month moving average of the monthly seasonally adjusted annual rates (SAAR) of housing starts.

12:15
Canada: Housing Starts, August 201 (forecast 210.3)
11:04
Sky Sources have confirmed the UK Government is trying to prepare a series of bilateral deals with each of the EU 27 members to allow flights to continue @SkyNewsBreak
10:19
China To Ask WTO For Authorisation To Impose Trade Sanctions On US - Reuters Citing Meeting Agenda
09:41
The ZEW Indicator of Economic Sentiment for Germany recorded an increase of 3.1 points in September

The ZEW Indicator of Economic Sentiment for Germany recorded an increase of 3.1 points in September 2018 and now stands at minus 10.6 points. The indicator has thus recovered from its low point in July 2018, making a leap of 14.1 within the last two months. However, the indicator is still clearly in negative territory and remains well below the long-term average of 22.9 points. The assessment of the current economic situation in Germany has increased by 3.4 points, leaving the corresponding indicator at 76.0 points.

"During the survey period, the currency crises in Turkey and Argentina intensified, while German industrial production and incoming orders were surprisingly low in July. Despite these unfavourable circumstances, economic expectations for Germany improved slightly. The considerable fears displayed by the survey participants regarding the economic development have diminished somewhat, which may in part be attributable to the new trade agreement between the USA and Mexico," comments ZEW President Professor Achim Wambach.

09:23
The number of persons employed increased by 0.4% in both the euro area (EA19) and the EU28 in the second quarter

The number of persons employed increased by 0.4% in both the euro area (EA19) and the EU28 in the second quarter of 2018 compared with the previous quarter, according to national accounts estimates published by Eurostat, the statistical office of the European Union. In the first quarter of 2018, employment increased by 0.4% in the euro area and by 0.5% in the EU28. These figures are seasonally adjusted.

Compared with the same quarter of the previous year, employment increased by 1.5% in the euro area and by 1.4% in the EU28 in the second quarter of 2018 (after +1.5% in both areas in the first quarter of 2018).

Eurostat estimates that, in the second quarter of 2018, 238.9 million men and women were employed in the EU28, of which 158 million were in the euro area. These are the highest levels ever recorded in both areas. These figures are seasonally adjusted. These data on employment provide a picture of labour input consistent with the output and income measure of national accounts.

09:22
UK average weekly earnings rose 2.6% including bonuses y/y

Latest estimates show that average weekly earnings for employees in Great Britain in nominal terms (that is, not adjusted for price inflation) increased by 2.9% excluding bonuses, and by 2.6% including bonuses, compared with a year earlier.

Latest estimates show that average weekly earnings for employees in Great Britain in real terms (that is, adjusted for price inflation) increased by 0.5% excluding bonuses, and by 0.2% including bonuses, compared with a year earlier.

09:13
UK unemployment rate stable at 4.0% in July

Estimates from the Labour Force Survey show that, between February to April 2018 and May to July 2018, the number of people in work was little changed, the number of unemployed people decreased but the number of people aged from 16 to 64 years not working and not seeking or available to work (economically inactive) increased.

There were 32.40 million people in work, little changed compared with February to April 2018 but 261,000 more than for a year earlier.

The employment rate (the proportion of people aged from 16 to 64 years who were in work) was 75.5%, slightly lower than for February to April 2018 (75.6%) but higher than for a year earlier (75.3%).

There were 1.36 million unemployed people (people not in work but seeking and available to work), 55,000 fewer than for February to April 2018 and 95,000 fewer than for a year earlier.

The unemployment rate (the number of unemployed people as a proportion of all employed and unemployed people) was 4.0%; it has not been lower since December 1974 to February 1975.

09:01
Eurozone: ZEW Economic Sentiment, September -7.2 (forecast -10.9)
09:00
Eurozone: Employment Change, Quarter II 0.4% (forecast 0.4%)
09:00
Germany: ZEW Survey - Economic Sentiment, September -10.6 (forecast -14.0)
08:30
United Kingdom: Claimant count , August 8.7 (forecast 10)
08:30
United Kingdom: ILO Unemployment Rate, July 4% (forecast 4%)
08:30
United Kingdom: Average Earnings, 3m/y , July 2.6% (forecast 2.4%)
08:30
United Kingdom: Average earnings ex bonuses, 3 m/y, July 2.9% (forecast 2.8%)
07:25
FTSE -20.68 7258.62 -0.28% DAX +26.94 12013.28 +0.22% CAC +10.73 5280.36 +0.20%
07:24
McDonnell: U.K. Labour keeping Option of Referendum on Table @stewhampton
06:58
Options levels on tuesday, September 11, 2018 EURUSD GBPUSD

EUR/USD

Resistance levels (open interest**, contracts)

$1.1741 (1023)

$1.1715 (636)

$1.1696 (266)

Price at time of writing this review: $1.1627

Support levels (open interest**, contracts):

$1.1544 (4530)

$1.1508 (2804)

$1.1469 (3292)


Comments:

- Overall open interest on the CALL options and PUT options with the expiration date October, 15 is 85187 contracts (according to data from September, 10) with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,1900 (5166);


GBP/USD

Resistance levels (open interest**, contracts)

$1.3172 (1750)

$1.3141 (714)

$1.3119 (658)

Price at time of writing this review: $1.3054

Support levels (open interest**, contracts):

$1.2968 (569)

$1.2912 (1377)

$1.2879 (1450)


Comments:

- Overall open interest on the CALL options with the expiration date October, 15 is 25135 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,3200 (2809);

- Overall open interest on the PUT options with the expiration date October, 15 is 27174 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,2800 (2329);

- The ratio of PUT/CALL was 1.08 versus 1.10 from the previous trading day according to data from September, 10.

* - The Chicago Mercantile Exchange bulletin (CME) is used for the calculation.

** - Open interest takes into account the total number of option contracts that are open at the moment.

06:50
Futures: DAX +0,2% FTSE +0,1% CAC 40 +0,3%
06:31
Japan's tertiary industry activity recovered in July

Japan's tertiary industry activity recovered in July, according to rttnews.

The tertiary industry activity index edged up 0.1 percent on month in July, in line with expectations, after declining by revised 0.6 percent in June.

On a yearly basis, tertiary industry activity advanced 1 percent in July.

06:29
Australian business conditions index rose by 2 pts to +15 index points in August, recovering some of the ground lost in recent months

The business conditions index rose by 2pts to +15 index points in August, recovering some of the ground lost in recent months. Business confidence fell 3pts to +4 index points and is now below average.

According to Alan Oster, NAB Group Chief Economist "The business conditions index rebounded a little in August, and while it is someway off the highs earlier in the year, it remains well above average. This is a welcome sign of a stabilisation in business conditions".

"The rise in the month was driven by an improvement in both profitability and trading conditions, while the employment index was unchanged" said Mr Oster.

According to Mr Oster "The employment index continues to suggest growth in employment of around 23k per month over the next 6 months. With a stabilisation in the labour force participation rate, this should be enough to see the unemployment rate decline further over the rest of 2018".

06:27
Canada ForMin Freeland: Will Meet With USTR Lighthizer In Washington On Tuesday To Discuss NAFTA @LiveSquawk
06:27
Japan's Renesas announces planned purchase of US chipmaker IDT for $6.7 bln - Reuters
06:25
In Q2 2018, French net payroll job creation reached+12,500, after +47,500 in the previous quarter

In Q2 2018, net payroll job creation reached+12,500, after +47,500 in the previous quarter (that is 0.0 %, after +0.2 %). Payroll employment declined again in the public sector (-11,800), and slowed down in the private sector (+24,300). Year on year, it rose by 207,600 (+0.8 %): 236,000 jobs were created in the private sector and 28,300 jobs were destroyed in the public service.

Payroll employment decreased slightly in industry in Q2 2018 (that is - 2,200, after - 400), showing nonetheless a year on year increase (+5,000).

The growth of payroll employment in construction continued at the same pace than in the previous quarter : +5,000 (that is +0.4 % as in Q1 2018). Year on year, the increase reached +25,300 jobs (that is +1.9 %).

06:12
Japan: Prelim Machine Tool Orders, y/y , August 5.3%
05:46
France: Non-Farm Payrolls, Quarter II 0.0%
01:30
Australia: National Australia Bank's Business Confidence, August 4 (forecast 5)

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