Major US stock indexes fluctuated between profit and loss, but eventually completed the trading with a confident increase, having received support from reports of US President Trump signing a bill to extend government funding.
The focus was also on the United States. As it became known, wholesale stocks in the US grew stronger than expected in December, although more slowly than a month earlier. Commodity stocks in warehouses of wholesale trade increased by 0.4% to $ 612.1 billion, outperforming growth estimates of 0.2%. In November, the number of unsold stocks on wholesalers shelves increased by 0.6%, the November figure was revised from 0.8 percent in a preliminary report released on Friday. At current levels, it would take 1.22 months for wholesalers to free their shelves, which is more than last year's ratio of 1.29.
Oil prices fell more than 3%, recording a sixth consecutive shedding in a row and the largest weekly loss in 10 months, as the record volume of oil production in the US added to fears of a sharp increase in global supplies.
Most components of the DOW index finished trading in positive territory (26 out of 30). Leader of the growth were shares of NIKE, Inc. (NKE, + 5.15%). Outsider were shares United Technologies Corporation (UTX, -0.77%).
Almost all sectors of S & P recorded a rise. The technological sector grew most (+ 2.4%). Decrease showed only the conglomerate sector (-1.2%).
At closing:
Dow + 1.38% 24.190.90 +330.44
Nasdaq + 1.44% 6,874.49 +97.33
S & P + 1.49% 2,619.55 +38.55
USD/SGD has been following a bearish trend for several weeks.
If we look on weekly time frame chart, we can see that the price is now moving close to the downside trend line and to the previous support.
Therefore, if the price starts to reject the blue zone (previous support level) then we can expect a further bearish movement close to the previous low and even lower.
Total inventories of merchant wholesalers, except manufacturers' sales branches and offices, after adjustment for seasonal variations but not for price changes, were $612.1 billion at the end of December, up 0.4 percent from the revised November level. Total inventories were up 3.4 percent from the revised December 2016 level. The November 2017 to December 2017 percent change was revised from the advance estimate of up 0.2 percent to up 0.4 percent.
The December inventories/sales ratio for merchant wholesalers, except manufacturers' sales branches and offices, based on seasonally adjusted data, was 1.22. The December 2016 ratio was 1.29.
U.S. stock-index futures pointув to a higher open on Friday after a sharp decline in the U.S. stock market in the previous session amid concerns about mounting volatility and worries about inflation and rising bond yields.
Global Stocks:
Nikkei 21,382.62 -508.24 -2.32%
Hang Seng 29,507.42 -943.85 -3.10%
Shanghai 3,130.93 -131.12 -4.02%
S&P/ASX 5,838.00 -52.70 -0.89%
FTSE 7,111.73 -58.96 -0.82%
CAC 5,091.42 -60.26 -1.17%
DAX 12,135.93 -124.36 -1.01%
Crude $60.53 (-1.01%)
Gold $1,317.40 (-0.12%)
(company / ticker / price / change ($/%) / volume)
3M Co | MMM | 225.4 | 2.51(1.13%) | 8063 |
ALCOA INC. | AA | 46.23 | 0.25(0.54%) | 600 |
ALTRIA GROUP INC. | MO | 64.5 | 0.45(0.70%) | 5312 |
Amazon.com Inc., NASDAQ | AMZN | 1,371.85 | 21.35(1.58%) | 119869 |
American Express Co | AXP | 89.13 | 0.79(0.89%) | 5453 |
AMERICAN INTERNATIONAL GROUP | AIG | 59.51 | 1.23(2.11%) | 11300 |
Apple Inc. | AAPL | 156.51 | 1.99(1.29%) | 271597 |
AT&T Inc | T | 35.75 | 0.18(0.51%) | 26180 |
Barrick Gold Corporation, NYSE | ABX | 13.24 | 0.01(0.08%) | 10774 |
Boeing Co | BA | 333.2 | 3.54(1.07%) | 39662 |
Caterpillar Inc | CAT | 147.47 | 1.48(1.01%) | 11199 |
Chevron Corp | CVX | 113.1 | 0.80(0.71%) | 4838 |
Cisco Systems Inc | CSCO | 39.1 | 0.33(0.85%) | 41248 |
Citigroup Inc., NYSE | C | 72.5 | 0.63(0.88%) | 7014 |
Exxon Mobil Corp | XOM | 75.9 | 0.60(0.80%) | 38792 |
Facebook, Inc. | FB | 173.51 | 1.93(1.12%) | 169573 |
FedEx Corporation, NYSE | FDX | 232.88 | -6.39(-2.67%) | 133457 |
Ford Motor Co. | F | 10.51 | 0.08(0.77%) | 56665 |
Freeport-McMoRan Copper & Gold Inc., NYSE | FCX | 17.22 | 0.06(0.35%) | 6701 |
General Electric Co | GE | 14.64 | 0.19(1.31%) | 325931 |
General Motors Company, NYSE | GM | 41.1 | 0.35(0.86%) | 7970 |
Goldman Sachs | GS | 248.82 | 2.47(1.00%) | 7490 |
Google Inc. | GOOG | 1,007.25 | 5.73(0.57%) | 13237 |
Hewlett-Packard Co. | HPQ | 20.21 | 0.29(1.46%) | 846 |
Home Depot Inc | HD | 183.33 | 2.11(1.16%) | 11435 |
HONEYWELL INTERNATIONAL INC. | HON | 148 | 1.98(1.36%) | 222 |
Intel Corp | INTC | 43.12 | 0.37(0.87%) | 114376 |
International Business Machines Co... | IBM | 148.98 | 1.39(0.94%) | 7428 |
International Paper Company | IP | 56.3 | 0.25(0.45%) | 1348 |
Johnson & Johnson | JNJ | 127 | 0.64(0.51%) | 8572 |
JPMorgan Chase and Co | JPM | 108.87 | 0.99(0.92%) | 24749 |
McDonald's Corp | MCD | 159.55 | 0.58(0.36%) | 5767 |
Merck & Co Inc | MRK | 55.06 | 0.33(0.60%) | 4888 |
Microsoft Corp | MSFT | 85.65 | 0.64(0.75%) | 150974 |
Nike | NKE | 62.59 | 0.10(0.16%) | 6331 |
Pfizer Inc | PFE | 33.91 | 0.28(0.83%) | 13757 |
Procter & Gamble Co | PG | 80.68 | 0.46(0.57%) | 10036 |
Starbucks Corporation, NASDAQ | SBUX | 54.04 | 0.27(0.50%) | 7098 |
Tesla Motors, Inc., NASDAQ | TSLA | 318.89 | 3.66(1.16%) | 67745 |
The Coca-Cola Co | KO | 43.35 | 0.25(0.58%) | 7969 |
Travelers Companies Inc | TRV | 135.4 | 0.39(0.29%) | 2751 |
Twitter, Inc., NYSE | TWTR | 30.47 | 0.29(0.96%) | 521993 |
United Technologies Corp | UTX | 128.25 | 0.77(0.60%) | 2106 |
UnitedHealth Group Inc | UNH | 216.95 | 0.49(0.23%) | 3739 |
Verizon Communications Inc | VZ | 49.3 | 0.26(0.53%) | 9835 |
Visa | V | 114.69 | 0.83(0.73%) | 8628 |
Wal-Mart Stores Inc | WMT | 100.37 | 0.35(0.35%) | 9772 |
Walt Disney Co | DIS | 102.07 | 0.72(0.71%) | 17755 |
Yandex N.V., NASDAQ | YNDX | 35.56 | 0.36(1.02%) | 13700 |
United Tech (UTX) upgraded to Buy from Hold at Argus
Chevron (CVX) upgraded to Sector Perform from Underperform at RBC Capital Mkts
Twitter (TWTR) upgraded to Sector Perform from Underperform at RBC Capital Mkts
Following two months of increases, employment fell by 88,000 in January. Part-time employment declined (-137,000), while full-time employment was up (+49,000). At the same time, the unemployment rate increased by 0.1 percentage points to 5.9%.
On a year-over-year basis, employment grew by 289,000 or 1.6%. Gains were driven by increases in full-time work (+414,000 or +2.8%), while there were fewer people working part time (-125,000 or -3.5%). Over the same period, hours worked rose by 2.8%.
n January, employment declined for core-aged women (25 to 54 years old), as well as people 55 and older and youth aged 15 to 24. There was little change for core-aged men.
The largest employment declines were in Ontario and Quebec. There were also decreases in New Brunswick and Manitoba.
There was no update from Britain on Brexit
UK withdrawal from EU, customs union would make border checks inevitable
There must be no ambiguity in UK deal on Irish border
Witnesses private investment jump but steep decline of public investments
The total UK trade (goods and services) deficit widened by £3.8 billion to £10.8 billion in the three months to December 2017; excluding erratic commodities, the deficit widened by £1.5 billion to £9.0 billion.
The £3.8 billion widening of the total trade (goods and services) deficit was due to a £3.3 billion widening of the trade in goods deficit and a £0.5 billion narrowing of the trade in services surplus; the trade deficit in fuels (oil) had the largest impact on the widening of the trade in goods deficit.
The widening of the trade in goods deficit was due mainly to a 3.8% (£2.1 billion) increase in imports from non-EU countries, alongside decreases in exports to the EU, in the three months to December 2017.
In the three months to December 2017, the Index of Production was estimated to have increased by 0.5% compared with the three months to September 2017, due to a rise of 1.3% in manufacturing; this was partially offset by a decrease of 4.7% in mining and quarrying, caused mainly by the shut-down of the Forties oil pipeline for a large part of December 2017.
Within manufacturing, 9 of the 13 manufacturing sub-sectors experienced growth; the largest contribution to quarterly growth came from basic metals and metal products, which increased by 5.7%.
Total production output increased by 2.3% for the three months to December 2017 compared with the same three months to December 2016; manufacturing provided the largest upward contribution with an increase of 3.4%.
EUR/USD
Resistance levels (open interest**, contracts)
$1.2403 (2689)
$1.2359 (1671)
$1.2307 (3148)
Price at time of writing this review: $1.2269
Support levels (open interest**, contracts):
$1.2234 (3748)
$1.2194 (6645)
$1.2147 (3311)
Comments:
- Overall open interest on the CALL options and PUT options with the expiration date February, 9 is 128504 contracts (according to data from February, 8) with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,2200 (6645);
GBP/USD
Resistance levels (open interest**, contracts)
$1.4153 (724)
$1.4105 (1126)
$1.4059 (738)
Price at time of writing this review: $1.3975
Support levels (open interest**, contracts):
$1.3876 (1643)
$1.3839 (1598)
$1.3795 (1064)
Comments:
- Overall open interest on the CALL options with the expiration date February, 9 is 44389 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,3900 (3490);
- Overall open interest on the PUT options with the expiration date February, 9 is 41549 contracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,3400 (3038);
- The ratio of PUT/CALL was 0.94 versus 0.91 from the previous trading day according to data from February, 8
* - The Chicago Mercantile Exchange bulletin (CME) is used for the calculation.
** - Open interest takes into account the total number of option contracts that are open at the moment.
Doubling of interest rates from 0.5 percent would not historically represent a big rise
Says now more confident wage growth is improving in UK
With U.S. economy at or beyond full employment, arrival of fiscal stimulus makes more rate hikes important
Says underlying inflation to reach 2.25 pct by mid-2020
Unemployment forecasts cut 0.25 point to 5.25 pct out to mid-2019, stays at 5.25 pct to mid-2020
Gdp growth seen at 3.25 pct end 2018, 3.25 pct end 2019, 3 pct mid-2020
Underlying inflation seen at 1.75 pct end 2018, 2 pct end 2019, 2.25 pct june 2020
Household income growth slow, if that persists it would constrain consumption
Recent new enterprise agreements to put downward pressure on wage growth for couple of years
Appreciating AUD would dampen domestic growth and inflation
Outlook for global growth positive despite volatility in equity markets
According to SECO surveys, at the end of January 2018, 149,161 unemployed people were enrolled in the Regional Employment Centers (RAV), 2,507 more than in the previous month. The unemployment rate remained at 3.3% in the month under review. Compared with the same month last year, unemployment fell by 15,305 (-9.3%). Youth unemployment in January 2018 Youth unemployment (15-24 year-olds) decreased by 135 (-0.8%) to 16,545. Compared to the same month of the previous year, this represents a decrease of 3,237 persons (-16.4%).
China's consumer and producer price inflation slowed in January, data from the National Bureau of Statistics cited by rttnews.
Consumer prices climbed 1.5 percent year-on-year in January, the weakest in four months, after rising 1.8 percent in December. The rate came in line with expectations.
Food prices fell 0.5 percent on year versus 0.4 percent drop a month ago. Meanwhile, non-food prices rose 2 percent following December's 2.4 percent rise.
Meanwhile, monthly inflation doubled to 0.6 percent from 0.3 percent in December.
European stocks dropped on Thursday, taking their cues from a selloff on Wall Street as well as a plunge in oil prices that weighed on shares of the region's major energy companies.
The S&P 500 and the Dow extended their decline to close in correction territory Thursday after stocks went into a free fall late in the session on concerns about mounting volatility and worries about inflation and rising bond yields.
Asian shares took a tumble on Friday, taking cues from U.S. indexes which extended sharp losses in the last session. Japan's Nikkei 225 fell 2.51 percent, with losses seen in most sectors. Automakers, financials, manufacturers and technology stocks traded firmly in negative territory.
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