Forecasts & opinions
The National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China released the Consumer Price Index (CPI) for July this morning, showing that the index is up 2.8 percent - the highest reading since February last year.
The index, which is a key indicator to measure inflation and changes in purchasing trends, showed that food prices grew 9.1 percent year on year last month, which was an increase from 8.3 percent in June.
As the trade war rages on between the two strongest economies in the world, China and the U.S, China's strategy is to continue to weaken its currency.
The Reserve Bank of New Zeeland's (RBZN) Monetary Policy Committee announced today that the Official Cash Rate will be reduced to 1.0 percent. This decision was made because the committee believes it is a necessity for future employment and inflation objectives to be met.
In a meeting today, the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) Board decided to leave the cash rate stable at 1.00 percent.
In a statement announcing the fact, Philip Lowe, the Governor of RBA stated that "the increased uncertainty generated by the trade and technology disputes is affecting investment and means that the risks to the global economy remain tilted to the downside."
The big news at the end of last week was that U.S President Donald Trump announced that he would impose a ten percent tariff on a further $300 billion in Chinese imports. China has now hit back by allowing the Yuan to fall to the weakest level in more than a decade this morning and asking state-owned companies to suspend imports of U.S agricultural products, according to Bloomberg.
U.S President Donald Trump surprised the world economy as a whole yesterday as he announced that he would impose a ten percent tariff on a further $300 billion in Chinese imports. This could only be the beginning as the new import taxes could go "well beyond 25 percent" Trump said.
Yesterday Federal Reserve (Fed) Chairman Jerome Powell announced that the central bank will lower interest rates for the first time since the 2008 recession. This measure will be put in place to prevent the possibility of an economic slump, according to Powell but it is not the start of a lengthy easing cycle.
This morning the Australian Bureau of Statistics released the Consumer Price Index for the second quarter, showing that the Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose 0.6 percent, following no movement for the March quarter. The yearly CPI shows that over the twelve-month period to the June quarter 2019, it is up by 1.6 percent.
During his first week as the new UK Prime Minister, Boris Johnson has managed to heighten Brexit fears to new levels. These fears of a no-deal Brexit, as Johnson plans to pressure the European Union into negotiating a better Brexit deal when the leaders have already said that this is not an option, have had a profound effect on the Pound.
This could be the biggest week of 2019 so far for the world economy as all eyes will be on the Federal Reserve's (Fed) decision about interest rates on Wednesday, among other activities around the world which are bound to set the financial mood for the near future.
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- Germany's trade surplus rose slightly in October
- Swiss unemployment rate remained unchanged in November
- China says hopes it can reach trade agreement with U.S. as soon as possible
- Eurozone investor confidence rose sharply in December - Sentix